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Frozen pre-match forecast · #133215

Heming VS KFUM II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
80.86%
Draw
11.28%
Away
7.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.4471
Log loss
2.1821

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
771d32d732c00c2013bc4187ff5cb5e9ebc719d8343b099fb65e3336705ae76a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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