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Frozen pre-match forecast · #133138

Always Ready VS Independiente Petrolero

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
12 Oct 2026 · 21:15 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
87.09%
Draw
8.92%
Away
3.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
eb5eb756e03794715f584c5d1c3fb1ca65e9ea12e6587e495b8de15fc4e6cc7c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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