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Frozen pre-match forecast · #133085

Strindheim VS Rosenborg II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
12 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.85%
Draw
15.77%
Away
14.38%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1364
Log loss
0.3588

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
6f6a9980f85027c536ce2c8d3160bbc25156cbd41ff7de1b411fe1925daffa51

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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