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Frozen pre-match forecast · #13291

Komárno VS Slovan Bratislava

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.48%
Draw
26.77%
Away
48.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3942
Log loss
0.7185

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
SHA-256
d09d78635008c588785bd1a955d1474ac0ebe30c3b0fe5329d3fae60d65e789a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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