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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132880

Karsiyaka VS Anadolu Üniversitesi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.41%
Draw
26.10%
Away
23.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3692
Log loss
0.6850

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
49b86c4b239ba149d89f4977273152deb746784d2e5b99996d00b2c8d2982a4b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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