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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132825

Espoir Savalou VS AS Sobemap

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.59%
Draw
32.52%
Away
31.89%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6837
Log loss
1.1233

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
0f9f7270877cb6486fd035ee132074ef8c299bd82c3e2adc088f1d40296fb940

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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