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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132823

Buffles VS Djeffa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.08%
Draw
25.76%
Away
13.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2352
Log loss
0.4931

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
15ae97a165096e981ee8fb4eb6828f45256d7a24cb7ae9b3bd992108c7fda16d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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