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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132817

Calahorra VS Haro Deportivo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.34%
Draw
20.23%
Away
16.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2023
Log loss
0.4567

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
14e04b8b912f017c854e01c0f2bc645b62851e2330b5c6d3052bb2c807800050

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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