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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132747

Gudja United VS St. Andrews

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.43%
Draw
26.45%
Away
39.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5591
Log loss
0.9385

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
547a25f2b14889d86ca4df6b3cb518fd42e6ceb6c6e28c806ecfb373c648b387

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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