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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132677

Rudar VS Zeta

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.60%
Draw
27.27%
Away
33.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5489
Log loss
0.9263

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
ed861a3fc6da429268cddb830ea9af24f592f854a4d1367b3a03e4f3be7e05da

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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