Frozen pre-match forecast · #132663
Assyriska FF VS FBK Karlstad
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 11 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 38.33%
- Draw
- 23.64%
- Away
- 38.03%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.5808
- Log loss
- 0.9589
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 11 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
- SHA-256
- 6a3f43c32a20512f9a8fe15e2a3d6268f55eec301024519de4d85c3ca5855d99
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.