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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132649

Ružomberok VS Žilina

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.11%
Draw
23.43%
Away
44.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8871
Log loss
1.4512

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
7b5c3173290fd13ace36b4d310d2563d830f591cccc7c1b48ca0322518cde5b0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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