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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132646

Levanger VS Hønefoss

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.21%
Draw
21.96%
Away
29.82%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9304
Log loss
1.5158

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
e80fcb237fd8febafb0fd333ed575da532306e77044a4623584f5876e2d39ec9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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