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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132629

Monastir VS Latte Dolce

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.64%
Draw
20.23%
Away
17.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2098
Log loss
0.4678

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
4e99fb1c460f5241484b3ef1d19c923d0576e30ed7b143325cc0530bacbe456c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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