Frozen pre-match forecast · #132612
Nocerina VS Brindisi
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 11 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 11 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 44.91%
- Draw
- 27.48%
- Away
- 27.60%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.8014
- Log loss
- 1.2873
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 11 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
- SHA-256
- 163b6fd5a207b13f1add2b93a8d61b9b9018c2714afdb2d5ecd7d66b9973898d
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.