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Frozen pre-match forecast · #13258

Olympic Charleroi VS Tubize

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.73%
Draw
34.62%
Away
33.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6608
Log loss
1.0892

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
SHA-256
24ebab02b26c95fd5f3ce1cdd035e9d9677c9bdf1d10f34c3d55ff6c1c3d1956

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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