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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132477

Teplice VS Sigma Olomouc

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.62%
Draw
26.38%
Away
37.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8130
Log loss
1.3326

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
cde691d753ed065fdc65bebd711adbf589a27790f67ba1d0c0f0994c07ada34c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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