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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132389

Port FC VS Pattani

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
77.27%
Draw
14.58%
Away
8.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.0796
Log loss
0.2580

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
81f23969c5ea9725ce7752d4627f404bb278323b58279afea601a9bca0a15b23

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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