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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132314

Balatonalmádi VS Veszprém

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.11%
Draw
23.18%
Away
50.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.3649
Log loss
0.6791

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
842156396988f5a8d093176ac6f44ec9b0664e8d4bb80840b507e35e3826208d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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