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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132298

Utsikten VS Angelholms FF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.29%
Draw
23.96%
Away
43.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4781
Log loss
0.8267

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
a5b94e0f146806341f94f68b395920fba08b481d6b7d9d2895d81f0ee4a5cae7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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