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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132272

Puente Genil VS Tamaraceite

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.77%
Draw
26.78%
Away
23.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3790
Log loss
0.6978

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
54e162b7438a89b3123e11e8d40f6d932fd11965d86d6e95c745319c41f6dcd9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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