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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132252

Yangon United VS Yangon Royals

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
77.69%
Draw
14.86%
Away
7.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.4822
Log loss
2.5970

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
ccae3ff7039ef1d54630c602d2835592a48a6aa6ba1b0661e1da51a13ef6c517

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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