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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132230

Persis Solo VS Dejan

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.05%
Draw
23.12%
Away
21.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9418
Log loss
1.4645

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
7861a0d8a974a066e4f29245f38110b65c3c0a0badc9eba300bd7a8bc7d3472e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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