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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132220

Malženice VS Inter Bratislava

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.45%
Draw
25.18%
Away
34.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.6578
Log loss
1.0680

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
f245f0493bb2610b0672c34da868c89ea1dcc7dc1a9b758b709e67f2ddeedb54

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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