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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132204

BC Rangers VS Warriors

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 08:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
9.98%
Draw
15.23%
Away
74.79%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.0967
Log loss
0.2905

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
f83ce9aa79da1c299a62bd028264c5f412b74f9a65b3458f8337df361cd1e84f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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