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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132099

Skyy VS King Faisal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.86%
Draw
27.83%
Away
22.31%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3786
Log loss
0.6960

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
9ac11e822baaff0c0cfb22e76b00e91eaebfabfa262611b3c2b631691d853a52

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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