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Frozen pre-match forecast · #13207

Korotan Prevalje VS Ljutomer

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:38 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.98%
Draw
34.14%
Away
38.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6577
Log loss
1.0747

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:38 UTC
SHA-256
d00060fc89009877a8a7d111f06c63711d1be02607294d76448c89968bc24c3f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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