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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132052

CD Lunda-Sul VS Sporting de Cabinda

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.67%
Draw
27.22%
Away
18.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8614
Log loss
1.3012

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
29fe141ac864781af280ed3c90e90ed7359ad592c008ff1d30f34c28e6c183ee

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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