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Frozen pre-match forecast · #132046

Solin VS Grobničan Čavle

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.34%
Draw
18.70%
Away
12.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.1448
Log loss
1.6765

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
d4f9459cc875eed0e0ce966bceed3cc923753ee19d8dcb6e93ddeb279c12a716

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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