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Frozen pre-match forecast · #131959

Témouchent VS MB Rouisset

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.04%
Draw
30.74%
Away
40.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5362
Log loss
0.9108

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
a59f44cd6469ff1fe83793000a307e0b8659b5a9ff692ee853493b3029989186

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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