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Frozen pre-match forecast · #131956

ES Setif VS JS Kabylie

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.02%
Draw
28.40%
Away
24.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7942
Log loss
1.2588

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
28e82916d8f7b740e1d8114d29fd72fb35b7033e5c2726fc15182e1bdef99653

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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