Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #131871

Bryne VS Raufoss

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
77.17%
Draw
14.79%
Away
8.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.3281
Log loss
1.9112

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
4a52a6f214a13082177aa20a7f0a970487fae07e047a1f038fea53a115467f2c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →