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Frozen pre-match forecast · #131859

Lyn VS Stromsgodset

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.94%
Draw
18.74%
Away
61.32%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.2245
Log loss
0.4891

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
205902703e8d089f3cc6c30ef198543956fdd8249e9430206b5bd73bdb9a8c20

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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