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Frozen pre-match forecast · #131757

Power Dynamos VS Nchanga Rangers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 04:04 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.38%
Draw
24.59%
Away
13.03%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2190
Log loss
0.4719

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 04:04 UTC
SHA-256
51467394a5e1f7b2862469aa9f62517655a712b5385786ed3e1bb8ade9eec373

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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