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Frozen pre-match forecast · #131691

Zlín II VS Hranice

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 04:02 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.34%
Draw
24.31%
Away
30.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7498
Log loss
1.1924

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
11 Oct 2026 · 04:02 UTC
SHA-256
e307963f84dda122e8658f0a8ca04c966bea4fd8628fa0f029d08e529c1d3a7d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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