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Frozen pre-match forecast · #131578

Atlético Choloma VS Génesis

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 22:01 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.67%
Draw
27.42%
Away
39.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 22:01 UTC
SHA-256
e60ffd7cdc28a5b931274f1274ee7adacb20ab7bee4751afd524533806769c6d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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