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Frozen pre-match forecast · #13153

Zimbru VS Dacia-Buiucani

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:36 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.00%
Draw
32.54%
Away
29.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7479
Log loss
1.2221

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:36 UTC
SHA-256
d58ce83aac87eff5747c218bedea2966f5b25f2a78b35a9c1e0cff00cea0a1f3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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