Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #13133

Acero VS SC Torrevieja

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:36 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.66%
Draw
33.23%
Away
37.10%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7428
Log loss
1.2153

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:36 UTC
SHA-256
6c62e59211c14f51bd9dfe25e3df2c27fa001fe2b2ea0557445409f106179b1d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →