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Frozen pre-match forecast · #131045

Huntly VS Annan Athletic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 14:03 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.58%
Draw
24.43%
Away
49.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8864
Log loss
1.4094

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 14:03 UTC
SHA-256
8c7ac35f7f46e5b7c8406cc487050ceaba7517633a4b1508b0861d3ef3275272

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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