Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #130999

Stjarnan VS Valur Reykjavik

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 14:03 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.65%
Draw
20.62%
Away
30.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 14:03 UTC
SHA-256
8518ca13803cb390e28ca98397bc0b3caf047e56ff87cdc7778bc5a300d0af5c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →