Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #130598

Hodonín VS Uherský Brod

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 14:01 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.07%
Draw
25.82%
Away
29.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7723
Log loss
1.2341

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 14:01 UTC
SHA-256
51a3ab177e1f78f2dd50af51efa96cb339e293d105e9ed25715e1d9f25fb1953

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →