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Frozen pre-match forecast · #130482

Sutjeska Foča VS FK Romanija Pale

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:04 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.86%
Draw
23.91%
Away
18.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.0606
Log loss
1.7021

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 12:04 UTC
SHA-256
55cfe6e1d4e0a36889f3f8c95dbf4921ea1497e49cded371357c0b4521fa5962

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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