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Frozen pre-match forecast · #130285

Olympic Varna VS Riltzi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:03 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.92%
Draw
16.78%
Away
14.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 12:03 UTC
SHA-256
8ee4f9c2358bc2dc00a0296832dd4cedd5a074c2dcb3974381e80c500c316772

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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