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Frozen pre-match forecast · #130021

Gudja United VS St. Andrews

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 07:02 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.27%
Draw
26.66%
Away
39.07%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5598
Log loss
0.9398

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 07:02 UTC
SHA-256
e5799522af35a2489ee1f3ec169a20ef60ce76dfc04f2dee66ca264d05137867

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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