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Frozen pre-match forecast · #129840

Vitesse VS Comoé

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.63%
Draw
29.57%
Away
21.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7801
Log loss
1.2184

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
1a75abbc8e88d9b9bf20bd7194b1be5cae054d277e2f69c887b8a1e0cb2c8633

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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