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Frozen pre-match forecast · #12972

FK Sarajevo VS Sloga Doboj

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:33 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.41%
Draw
28.19%
Away
21.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3712
Log loss
0.6850

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:33 UTC
SHA-256
e52b7f22d40a72254e1c08588be4a34f6812df7d5a0d4873448c312f93e7fe9d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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