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Frozen pre-match forecast · #129589

Union Sportive Boujaad VS KAC Kenitra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.07%
Draw
29.94%
Away
21.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7703
Log loss
1.2060

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
3f432213549a5f6ede7fd74ae3ed3398de666a05c357b2a7fc5c42d6896d6c90

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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