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Frozen pre-match forecast · #129368

Naestved VS B 93

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.85%
Draw
26.24%
Away
34.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5647
Log loss
0.9455

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
10 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
2bc2d838d7d120b998543f4483d9430110ff05c1301ad70737a719005e159d88

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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