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Frozen pre-match forecast · #1291

Laval VS Sochaux

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.86%
Draw
36.10%
Away
36.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6158
Log loss
1.0189

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
77730aeee61b1bd686ba7f4eb6774743ec846969cb4d8330334565c0fd55aed1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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