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Frozen pre-match forecast · #12907

Wolfsberger AC II VS Wolfsberg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 05:31 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.77%
Draw
34.14%
Away
25.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6629
Log loss
1.0746

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 05:31 UTC
SHA-256
e8f0909a29fc4801b9eb206b62998eba16bdb5b8abb3486e7a5d3207bf210726

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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